The numbers, with the assumptions.
Performance is only meaningful if you can see how it was produced. Here are the results of the Bitcoin signal system on the 4-hour timeframe, live since 2020, together with the standardized basis they are measured on.
How performance is measured
| Assumption | Value |
|---|---|
| Asset | Bitcoin (BINANCE:BTCUSDT) |
| Timeframe | 4 hours |
| Period measured | Jan 6, 2020 to Jun 16, 2026 (live since 2020) |
| Initial capital | 1,000 USDT |
| Order size | 100% of equity |
| Commission | 0.1% per trade |
| Slippage | 0 ticks |
| Direction | Long only |
| Leverage | None (spot only) |
Full results
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Net profit | 11,718 USDT |
| Annualised return (CAGR) | 33% |
| Profit factor | 2.24 |
| Win rate | 46% (23 of 50) |
| Total closed trades | 50 |
| Winners / losers | 23 / 27 |
| Average profit / average loss | 2.63 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.28 |
| Sortino ratio | 1.07 |
| Average bars in winners / losers | 173 / 54 |
What these numbers are, and are not
These results apply the exact rules of the system to real Bitcoin price data on the 4-hour timeframe, the same logic that has run live since 2020. The figures above account for trading commission and do not change the rules to flatter the outcome. The win rate is modest on purpose: like most trend-following approaches, the system takes many small losses while waiting for a few large gains, which is why the profit factor matters more than how often it is right.
These numbers are a track record, not a promise about the future. They are totalled on a standardized basis, 1,000 USDT of capital with the full position each trade and 0.1% commission, and are not the record of any individual account, since each person executes on their own exchange. Markets change, and past performance is not indicative of future results. The specific parameters of the system are not disclosed, but the outcomes are not hidden: see every closed signal, year by year, in the full track record.
Bitcoin (BINANCE:BTCUSDT), 4-hour timeframe, Jan 6, 2020 to Jun 16, 2026. The system has run live since 2020; returns are totalled on a standardized basis (1,000 USDT initial capital, 0.1% commission per trade, 100% of equity per position), long only, spot, no leverage, and are not the record of any individual account. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Nothing here is financial advice.
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